2026 Global Risk Map (Global Guardian)

Intelligence-driven insights to help you anticipate and manage risk worldwide.
 

This year’s Global Risk Map highlights significant shifts in the global security environment, with many countries experiencing changes to their risk levels. Explore the map to see where these changes are occurring, and review in-depth analysis of the regions most likely to shape security in the year ahead. 

Canada
Risk has increased collectively with marginal rises in protests, extremism, and healthcare strain. Labor disputes are compounding social disruption.

Germany & Austria
Risk has increased due to greater vulnerability to terrorism, extremism, and street crime. Both countries experienced multiple terror plots over the past two years.

El Salvador 
Risk has decreased as crime levels continue to fall under the government’s “state of exception.” Security improvements have made the country a growing tourism destination. 

REVIEW ALL RISK SHIFTS

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A data-driven outlook on global terrorism in 2026. 

Alongside the Risk Map, the Global Guardian Terror Index (GGTI) provides a dedicated view of the global terrorism outlook. Ranked by country and broken down by region, the index illustrates how terrorism continues to evolve and the impact it will have on global operations in 2026 and beyond.

Select Key Findings: 

The MENA region features the highest concentration of High and Extreme Risk countries, while the Sahel remains the global epicenter of jihadist terrorism. 

Globally, jihadist-motivated terrorism continues to constitute the largest share of attacks, followed by ethno-nationalist or separatist-motivated terrorism. 

Latin America and Western Europe show the highest subregional concentrations of High and Extreme risk countries outside MENA . 

REVIEW TERROR INDEX

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HOW BUSINESSES CAN PREPARE

In today’s interconnected environment, converging threats demand more than reactive responses. By leveraging forward-looking intelligence and on-the-ground capabilities, organizations can anticipate disruptions, protect critical operations, and maintain continuity in uncertain times. 

Use these resources to: 

✓ Identify gaps and vulnerabilities in global operations to better safeguard personnel, assets, and bottom lines.

✓ Plan proactively by pinpointing regions where terrorism and political instability are most likely to emerge. 

✓ Adapt security measures by updating travel policies, access controls, and surveillance, and by targeting training where it’s needed most. 

✓ Test continuity plans through tabletop exercises that explore “what-if” scenarios and stress-test business resilience. 

OPEN INTERACTIVE MAP

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